Monday, January 21, 2013

Find the greatest

I mentioned today a problem of minimizing the expected number of questions required to identify the greatest of $X_1,\dotsc,X_n$, where these are i.i.d. $U[0,1]$.

We  pick  a  set  $A(1)  \subset  [0,  1]$  and  ask  which  $X_i \in  A(1)$.  Depending  on  the  response,  we  pick another  subset  $A(2)$  and  ask  which  $X_i \in A(2)$,  and  so  on,  until we  identify  the  largest  $X_i$.

It turns out that it is optimal to ask questions only of the special form "Which $X_i$ are  bigger  than  a(1)?", "Which $X_i$ are  bigger  than  a(2)", etc.

If you would like to see how this is proved, the paper is An  optimal  strategy  for  a conflict  resolution problem, by V.  Anantharam  and  P.  Varayia, Systems and Control Letters, 1986, pp. 329 -332.

A fact about this problem which is initially surprising is that the minimum expected number of questions required remains bounded as $n\to\infty$. Just make the first question of the form "Which $X_i$ are  bigger  than n/(n+1)?"